October 21, 2014

Vote in the General Election

November 4th is election day, walk-in voting begins October 21st, and mail-in ballots have already gone out and voting has begun.

Elected representative contests for mayor, council, and state seats get most of the attention, but there are other things on the ballot as well not to be overlooked. For example there are three county charter amendments on the ballot - details are here.

In the state I used to live in there was an informational voter guide mailed out with text of amendments and candidate statements, but here, nothing, so do your homework in advance if you want to be informed about what you are voting on.

Kauai ballots include:
  • Federal: Senator, US representative
  • State: Governor / Lt. Governor, representative
  • OHA: trustee
  • County: major, all 7 council members
  • Hawaii state constitution amendments (5)
  • Kauai county charter amendments (3)
On the ballot under the amendments section it just says, "Ask an Election Official."
This I find rather an embarrassment: at least they could print a web address which would be much more helpful. In any case, be sure to study up before you go to vote.

Proposed Constitutional Amendments are available in English, Chinese, Ilocano, Japanese.

You can review the complete text of the proposed county charter amendments here.

You can request an absentee ballot up to October 28th. If voting by mail, remember the ballot must be received by elections office by election day - mailed and postmarked election day will not count.

For full information on election go to http://www.kauai.gov/elections.

Be sure to vote if eligible and vote wisely. My rule is if you don't vote you don't get to complain.

October 10, 2014

Elect the best: say no to council slates

The following is pure opinion about a disturbing development in the Kauai county council election. Many candidates are forming slates and running as blocs: in my opinion is absolutely the wrong thing for the community and does not bode well for the kind of county council we will have if these slates are successful.

Politicians pushing slates are attempting to override voters choosing the best individual candidates based on their merits, instead asking them to go "all in" for a like-minded group hoping for a majority council position, empowering them to set up their leader as chair and with enough votes to potentially railroad through whatever initiatives they concoct among themselves. In the previous council's term we had way too much division and us-versus-them bitterness - notably, but not exclusively, around Bill 2491 (Ordinance 960) - and an elected slate of five or six council members takes this style of politics to the next level. Candidates on a slate tacitly purport to having the same platform and stances of most issues and are therefore unlikely to be offering diverse perspectives on the many issues the council faces - they wouldn't be a slate if they did. Slates are going to view others on the council as adversaries rather than colleagues, focused on winning rather than doing the right thing for the interests of all.

It isn't hard to see why this is happening as a pure power play if you look at the primary election results (below). The top four or five candidates are in fairly secure positions to make the cut in the general, but positions 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 are very much still up for grabs. Even positions 11 and 12 have shot because they are only separated from the next higher vote getting candidate by less than a hundred votes.

Top SevenMust move up to be elected
CandidateVotesCandidateVotes
RAPOZO9,592KUALII5,525
KAGAWA9,387PERRY4,902
KANESHIRO8,173CHOCK4,672
YUKIMURA7,252BRUN4,577
FURFARO6,868COWDEN4,524
HOOSER6,642DeCOSTA4,243
BYNUM5,839LARANIO3,754

Votes needed to pick up to move into position 7 and make the cut:
1570.81%
4692.42%
5843.02%
6313.26%
6583.40%
7984.12%
10435.39%
Since Tim Bynum is sitting in position 7 (the lowest finish to make the cut to be elected) these numbers are how many votes he hypothetically loses that the lower candidate might pick up. This is simplistic but gives an idea how close it is: the percentages are of ballots case in the primary. Note that the general election almost surely will have greater turnout so if anything the percentage swings needed to rearrange candidates around position 7 is just a few percentage points. 

In general these slates are promoted often by word of mouth, on social media, or other private means, but word has definitely gotten out. I don't want to publicize these slates too much by linking to them but I do want to provide some concrete details to be crystal clear on what I am talking about. There is not much on the web I could find, but here are some references to the couple different slates. At last weeks west side candidate forum I was very surprised to hear two candidates specifically mention their joining in a slate with other candidates they named that they would be banding with if elected.

Finally, it's important to remember that candidates may not necessarily want to be named on a slate: anyone can make a list of names and promote it. However, when the candidates themselves organize joint events and participate or speak about banding together, they are committing and personally I would avoid voting for anyone doing so. Also, to avoid any misunderstanding, organizations endorsing several candidates as individuals based on their merits is quite a different thing than saying "vote for these five or six names" which is what I mean by a slate.

Kauai county council members are elected "at large" meaning there are no districts as there are for state representatives. This means each council member is expected to server the interests of all, not just their supporters or their side of the island.

It seems clear that forming slates is a strategy to avoid a diverse council by loading it with like-minded candidates, even if they individually may not be fully qualified. Weaker candidates might see joining a slate as a way to get elected by riding on the shirttails of others, but doing so they sacrifice their independence. We don't need council chairs filled by people you are just going to vote like someone else on the council tells them. That's not the kind of council I want, and I would just urge anyone considering this approach to think very carefully. 

October 1, 2014

Real property taxes at council today

The council meets today to take up, among other things, the issue of real property taxes in response to the uproar when bills went out in July. The agenda is here. I have been unsuccessfully appealing to the county clerk to make the full text of bills easily available online. If you look at the link above, first, it's a PDF you need to download to view, and more importantly, you won't see links to the bills to be discussed. I spent perhaps fifteen minutes recently and managed to find these and will share them here. Anyone else who would value better publishing of these public documents online please feel free to leave a comment to that effect (a common response to my request is that nobody except me cares).

Here they are:
Bill No. 2551: Pay As You Throw
Bill No. 2552: Kaua’i Police Department, Exercise Equipment —$70,000
Bill No. 2554: Real Property Tax Relief for the 2014 Tax Year (administration proposal)
Bill No. 2555: Real Property Tax Relief Funding — $750,000
Bill No. 2556: Reinstating the Permanent Home Use Tax Limit
Bill No. 2557: Low Income Tax Credit
Bill No. 2558: Retroactive Real Property Tax Measures and Extensions
Bill No. 2559: Tax On Use

Other than the first two, these are all property tax changes in response to complaints. Bill 2555 funds the cost difference resulting from any changes to keep the budget bottom line the same, and that amount will vary depending on which bill or combination is adopted (the amount is computed for Bill 2554).

I have made a concerted effort to dig into this and I can tell you it is devilishly complex and difficult. Several hours spent poking into the ordinances and some data about tax rolls have convinced me that this is simply too complicated. A basic ad valorem system has been tinkered with over the years, mostly involving homeowner taxes, to such a degree it seems guaranteed to have plenty of unintended consequences. Kauai county code Title III Chapter 5A - Real Property Taxes - runs well over forty thousand words: that's about one hundred pages. 

A tax system that complicated should not be necessary for an island this size. It's expensive to administer requiring lots of custom database and software I would imagine, many forms to file, and it must be very prone to errors of all kinds. 

I have not researched other counties in the state or elsewhere but I seriously question that any local tax system is nearly this intricate. I suspect that the tax code has just organically morphed rather than anyone designed it to be some ornate, but if any council member supporting Ordinance 953 would like to justify the complexity of our tax code for homeowners here - that is, why does Kauai uniquely require so many provisions and exemptions and special loop holes -  that would be a of great interest. Rapid development and quickly raising prices mixed with long-time residents is not such a rare circumstance.

More importantly, this tax system requires citizens to file the right forms to very early deadlines in order to get the best deal: if you are lazy or confused or uninformed then that inaction can result in a significantly higher tax bill. I think that not how we should operate, where forgetting to file for low income exemption each year penalizes the homeowner (for a 70-year-old with a modest $400,000 home the difference is $610 instead of $244 [reference]). How many times this happens every year nobody knows. In the RPT tax workshop we heard testimony about some cases like this.

But major tax reform won't and shouldn't happen today - that will take time and study. Not necessary today, but soon I hope the council recognizes that the tax system has grown unwieldy and begins long-term  efforts to rewrite it.

Frankly, I am worried that five competing bills are going to turn into any kind of good short-term fix. Probably they will waive penalties and extend deadlines to help people recover and adjust to the new system which is a good thing but this costs money and adds to the finance department managing this.

As I said before I don't think the council has yet attempted to actually define the problem clearly and check the data to confirm that their perception is accurate. My analysis shows that the removal of the cap was less of a problem than the multiple-use-at-highest-rate effect, but I don't have the data to know for sure. For at least the people who have publicly testified with complaints can we get follow up that they were able to refile forms and get a good solution with existing tax code or if they feel over-taxed what is the special circumstance that is harming them unfairly? We need these solid numbers before we can "fix" the problem.

So if I was in charge here is how I would approach this starting from defining the problem.
  • if removing the cap was a big problem then define how much tax increase due to that is too much - what amount or what percentage or anything, but define it clearly
  • it seems hard to argue that the multi-use change is fair - I very much want to know who introduced that and why and if they can defend it
  • proportional use tax seems better but it does potentially make tax accounting very complex - we should be investigating cost-effective ways of handling that
  • instead of generalities people should be presenting real property examples of unfair taxes - (for example) 70 year old long time resident in Anahola lives in modest home on 1/2 acre that nearby high-end development has made worth $1 million
Everyone doesn't have to agree on the problem but they should be able to articulate their position with numbers and examples. As is, I am very concerned that different council members have their own view of what the problem is that if they communicated there would be significant differences. Starting from unspoken different problems, it's hardly surprising to see such a mixed bag of solutions.

With a clear set of problems and examples then I think we can tackle how to fix it more sensibly, and then see the effect of the proposed changes on each example raised and of course the revenue impact. Absent this data, here are the kind of approaches I would look at:
  • For the cap removal, limit the one-time impact to (say) $1000 or 50% increase. Phase in the cap removal in excess of these amounts over a few years. It is more tricky accounting to deal with but the number of cases is probably on the order of a few hundred.
  • For mixed use, it is not fair to charge a much greater tax rate for very limited rental or other use that disqualifies from Homestead classification. This gets complicated quickly as there is a spectrum of use cases including affordable rental and various arrangements sharing property with family and friends. Significant for-profit uses need to be defined and that should move people out of Homestead as the cost of doing business. There are likely issues with this but only by identifying real examples can we craft the right language to handle appropriately.
Finally, one detail I just discovered to my great surprise is that the tax cap was applied to properties not in Homestead class. I do not see how this is correct as up to FY2013, Ordinance 915 (not online) says:
Sec. 5A-9.3 Permanent Home Use Tax Limit For Home Exemption Property.
(a) Any owner who has a home exemption under Sec. 5A-11.4, K.C.C. 1987, shall receive a permanent home use tax limit and shall have the property taxed as provided in subsection 5A-9.3(e)[note: Homestead class, as I understand it.].  
I have found 2013 cap credits on properties in Residential (paying $5.75 rate) and a few in Commercial even. If anyone case explain this to me please leave a comment! If this is just my misunderstanding of the tax code or of the tax recodes at kauaipropertytax.com then this will serve as another example that our county tax system is just too complicated.

Candidate forum

Last night was the westside candidate forum for state representative, mayor, and county council. It was nice to see all the candidates and actually talking about issues and accomplishments is much more substantive than sign waving. I was very disappointed in the questions - too many about PMRF or the Poipu dairy or the Superferry, none of which county council has much control over in the first place. Furthermore, the format which requires limiting responses to one or two minutes for these complex issues virtually ensures nothing substantial can be said. On top of that they repeated the same question to three or four candidates so the last person could either repeat the major points already stated or refer to them and then had little else to say.

The candidates did their best I'm sure but often strayed completely off topic. Given two minutes, many candidates gave a short answer and then spoke about something either a question to other candidates that they wanted to talk about, or in some cases to critique something another candidate had said earlier they felt compelled to comment on. One candidate said they were unfamiliar with the project the question was about and proceeded to speak about something altogether different.

Ordinance 960 (the pesticide/GMO bill that took center stage last year and is now going through the courts) continues to be the most divisive topic of all. The panel split sharply on supporting it, and the discussion led to the most rancor on display all night.

A couple candidates referenced banding together in unity with other incumbents which I think is a terrible idea. I don't want voting blocks and cliques in the county council where a diverse set of perspectives is so important - a point other candidates made explicitly which I support as a principle. This I would say is a reaction to discord on the council (of which stories are legend but I have no solid information about) but I think listening to opposing viewpoint is the only solution - not forming coalitions and trying to shut out others you don't like.

Billy deCosta had the best line of the night saying that if kids could vote he would be governor.
This is the latest forum and they all seem to repeat this same tired and ineffective format. I think we can do better and should. These are just about the only issue-oriented opportunity we get to evaluate candidates and our choices are vitally important.

For the two person races I would have an onstage armchair discussion between the candidates with an emcee host moderating. Each candidate should get a chance to raise an issue and begin by laying out the topic and then listening to the opponent's view followed by several minutes of back and forth discussion. With fourteen candidates (only eleven appeared) it's tougher but I think they could be split into two groups - incumbents and challengers - and hold panel discussions as well. On the council they will be working in a group of seven and collaboration is essential so seeing them put into this kind of group interaction is very relevant to the job. I urge the people who kindly host these things to consider new approaches to maximize the value of the contribution.